EV Academy
Learn to bet like a pro.
A method to protect your bank and become a smarter bettor.
WHAT YOU'LL LEARN
Analyze — read prices and find real value
Build a strategy — decide how much to stake without gut feelings
Track your bank — record your bets and let the app settle them
Join the community — live sessions with Rodrigo and method-minded bettors
Lesson 0: Why bettors lose their Bank
Two bettors, the same matches, the same luck: one goes broke because of how much they stake.
Finish the course and get your first month for MXN $249.
Valid for 30 days after graduation. First subscription only.
Four acts, one story
Why you lose, how long-term betting works, how this platform helps, and where to place your bets.
Act 1 · Why you losePending
The price, incomplete picks, and stake sizes that wipe you out- 0Why bettors lose their BankOpen
Two bettors, the same matches, the same luck: one goes broke because of how much they stake.
In the app: Bankroll
- 1Odds = probabilityOpen
Odds aren't the prize; they show the probability implied by the market.
In the app: Analysis · Calculator
- 3A pick without a price is incompleteOpen
Without the market, line, sportsbook, odds, and time, you don't know what you're being offered.
In the app: Analysis
Sportsbooks profit from two things: their margin and how you manage your money. You can't control the first; the second can make you go broke.
Act 2 · How to win over timePending
Value, variance, units, and when to pass- 2Probability isn't certaintyOpen
A 70% probability can still lose today. The result doesn't tell you whether the decision was good.
In the app: Analysis · Bankroll
- 4Value is a differenceOpen
Your probability versus the price-implied probability. A good prediction can still be a bad bet.
In the app: Analysis · AI probability and EV
- 6Unit size and passingOpen
Decide how much to risk before the result. Passing can be the right play too.
In the app: Strategy · Bankroll
- 5Parlays: every leg has to winOpen
Each leg looks easy on its own. Together, the probability drops sharply.
In the app: Parlay builder
Long-term success takes two things: finding value and surviving variance. Without value, a unit only makes you lose more slowly; without a sensible unit size, you can go broke before value pays off.
Act 3 · How this platform helpsPending
No exam here: put it into practice in the app- 9The model has done the mathOpen
The app gives you its probability and the price-implied probability. The difference is what matters.
Mission · Unlock a match and check the bar
- 10Strategy tells you how muchOpen
Your stake comes from the difference and your Bank, not how much you like the pick.
Mission · Add the pick and check your stake
- 11Your Bank keeps the record for youOpen
Save a bet once and the app handles the rest: it settles automatically and shows how you did.
Mission · Set up your Bank and save a bet
- 12One Bank per sportsbookOpen
Your money isn't all in one place. Track each sportsbook separately to see your balance and performance.
Mission · Add the sportsbook you use
This isn't a picks app. It's a system for making, measuring, and improving your decisions.
Act 4 · Where to place a bet · MatchbookPending
What an exchange is and why prices depend on liquidity- 7What is an exchange?Open
You don't bet against a sportsbook here; you bet against another person.
Mission · See it in a real match
- 8Back, lay, and liquidityOpen
Both sides of one market, and why a price without liquidity can't be matched.
Mission · Compare the same market at two sportsbooks
You know what to bet on and how much. Now decide where: on an exchange, the other side of the market sets the price, not the sportsbook.
PRESENTED BY MATCHBOOK
This is where you place your bet.
Free account. What you can place depends on available liquidity, as with any exchange.
Turn a betting idea into a reasoned decision.
See how Rodrigo uses price, probability, and stake size to decide whether to place a bet or pass.
Live sessions take place on Discord. Replays will be available in Academy later.
Why Matchbook
The exchange where we use the method live. There's a reason we chose it.
A market between users
Orders are matched between participants; the amount you can place depends on liquidity.
Competitive prices
Accept the best available price or offer your own. Compare prices after commission.
Liquidity matters
An order can be fully matched, partially matched, or unmatched.
Commission on net winnings
The rate depends on your account and jurisdiction; check the current terms.
We place bets on Matchbook during sessions
Matchbook is the exchange we use to apply the method live. Open an account to follow the sessions and place your own bets with us.
You know how to build a strategy. Now track it.
Next, set up your Bank: record a deposit and track every bet.